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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
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  3. Science? We don't need no stinkin' science!

Science? We don't need no stinkin' science!

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  • AxtremusA Offline
    AxtremusA Offline
    Axtremus
    wrote on last edited by
    #5

    Will more harm be done to the patients undergoing this therapy given the expanded approval? Or is this just a matter of the therapy not delivering (statistically significant) enough benefits?

    Is there a reason the FDA rules allow one director to override objections from three reviewers and two other directors? Would you rather that there be absolute rules on the FDA goes by majorities among the reviewers and directors?

    George KG 1 Reply Last reply
    • AxtremusA Axtremus

      Will more harm be done to the patients undergoing this therapy given the expanded approval? Or is this just a matter of the therapy not delivering (statistically significant) enough benefits?

      Is there a reason the FDA rules allow one director to override objections from three reviewers and two other directors? Would you rather that there be absolute rules on the FDA goes by majorities among the reviewers and directors?

      George KG Offline
      George KG Offline
      George K
      wrote on last edited by
      #6

      @Axtremus said in Science? We don't need no stinkin' science!:

      Will more harm be done to the patients undergoing this therapy given the expanded approval?

      I dunno. Will patients not benefit from other therapies that might be withheld?

      Or is this just a matter of the therapy not delivering (statistically significant) enough benefits?

      In the distant past, hydroxychloroquine and other medications in the distant past were shown to not deliver statistically significant benefit.

      Is there a reason the FDA rules allow one director to override objections from three reviewers and two other directors? Would you rather that there be absolute rules on the FDA goes by majorities among the reviewers and directors?

      Yeah, I'm not down with one person permitting the approval of the drug because of the feelz.

      "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

      The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

      AxtremusA 1 Reply Last reply
      • George KG George K

        @Axtremus said in Science? We don't need no stinkin' science!:

        Will more harm be done to the patients undergoing this therapy given the expanded approval?

        I dunno. Will patients not benefit from other therapies that might be withheld?

        Or is this just a matter of the therapy not delivering (statistically significant) enough benefits?

        In the distant past, hydroxychloroquine and other medications in the distant past were shown to not deliver statistically significant benefit.

        Is there a reason the FDA rules allow one director to override objections from three reviewers and two other directors? Would you rather that there be absolute rules on the FDA goes by majorities among the reviewers and directors?

        Yeah, I'm not down with one person permitting the approval of the drug because of the feelz.

        AxtremusA Offline
        AxtremusA Offline
        Axtremus
        wrote on last edited by
        #7

        @George-K said in Science? We don't need no stinkin' science!:

        @Axtremus said in Science? We don't need no stinkin' science!:

        Will more harm be done to the patients undergoing this therapy given the expanded approval?

        I dunno. Will patients not benefit from other therapies that might be withheld?

        FDA approval is not a zero-sum game, the FDA can approve unlimited number of drugs and therapies. Actual prescription and payment for drugs/therapies may be a zero-sum game. But that comes down to the physician prescribing the drugs/prescriptions, whether the physician is knowledgeable enough to prescribe the more beneficial ones over the less beneficial ones.

        George KG 1 Reply Last reply
        • AxtremusA Axtremus

          @George-K said in Science? We don't need no stinkin' science!:

          @Axtremus said in Science? We don't need no stinkin' science!:

          Will more harm be done to the patients undergoing this therapy given the expanded approval?

          I dunno. Will patients not benefit from other therapies that might be withheld?

          FDA approval is not a zero-sum game, the FDA can approve unlimited number of drugs and therapies. Actual prescription and payment for drugs/therapies may be a zero-sum game. But that comes down to the physician prescribing the drugs/prescriptions, whether the physician is knowledgeable enough to prescribe the more beneficial ones over the less beneficial ones.

          George KG Offline
          George KG Offline
          George K
          wrote on last edited by
          #8

          @Axtremus said in Science? We don't need no stinkin' science!:

          FDA approval is not a zero-sum game

          You missed my point. It's not a question of zero-sum, it's a question of "Since you're already on Drug A, perhaps we should hold off on trying Drug B until we see how it works."

          "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

          The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

          AxtremusA 1 Reply Last reply
          • MikM Away
            MikM Away
            Mik
            wrote on last edited by
            #9

            I think we'd need to know what those secondary endpoints were. Perhaps I will run this by my BIL who was the chief statistical analyst for a large pharma firm.

            “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

            AxtremusA jon-nycJ 2 Replies Last reply
            • George KG George K

              @Axtremus said in Science? We don't need no stinkin' science!:

              FDA approval is not a zero-sum game

              You missed my point. It's not a question of zero-sum, it's a question of "Since you're already on Drug A, perhaps we should hold off on trying Drug B until we see how it works."

              AxtremusA Offline
              AxtremusA Offline
              Axtremus
              wrote on last edited by
              #10

              @George-K said in Science? We don't need no stinkin' science!:

              @Axtremus said in Science? We don't need no stinkin' science!:

              FDA approval is not a zero-sum game

              You missed my point. It's not a question of zero-sum, it's a question of "Since you're already on Drug A, perhaps we should hold off on trying Drug B until we see how it works."

              I addressed that point, essentially saying that’s on the prescribing physician, not on the FDA.

              1 Reply Last reply
              • MikM Mik

                I think we'd need to know what those secondary endpoints were. Perhaps I will run this by my BIL who was the chief statistical analyst for a large pharma firm.

                AxtremusA Offline
                AxtremusA Offline
                Axtremus
                wrote on last edited by Axtremus
                #11

                @Mik said in Science? We don't need no stinkin' science!:

                I think we'd need to know what those secondary endpoints were. Perhaps I will run this by my BIL who was the chief statistical analyst for a large pharma firm.

                Hmmm …. big pharma guy may have a bias for the FDA to approve stuff more liberally; can we trust him? 😉

                MikM 1 Reply Last reply
                • jon-nycJ Offline
                  jon-nycJ Offline
                  jon-nyc
                  wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
                  #12

                  I saw it yesterday and was heartened by the news. I’ve been in meetings with him where he said he’d issue guidance on clinical trial endpoints just to be later scuttled by his staff for rather dubious reasons. I could give details if anyone is interested.

                  I don’t know the details of the Duchenne drug but, knowing him, there’s no way it’s as simple as ‘feels’. There’s probably a small signal and knowing it will help at least some boys destined to become cripples to stave it off a bit is not a bad thing IMO.

                  There’s some new legislation in the senate being pushed by Braun (R-IN) and Gilibrand (D-NY) that would allow ultra-accelerated approvals (post P1!) for certain ultra-rare conditions providing the patients become part of a registry so they can figure out quickly if it’s working.

                  "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                  -Cormac McCarthy

                  George KG JollyJ 2 Replies Last reply
                  • MikM Mik

                    I think we'd need to know what those secondary endpoints were. Perhaps I will run this by my BIL who was the chief statistical analyst for a large pharma firm.

                    jon-nycJ Offline
                    jon-nycJ Offline
                    jon-nyc
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #13

                    @Mik said in Science? We don't need no stinkin' science!:

                    I think we'd need to know what those secondary endpoints were. Perhaps I will run this by my BIL who was the chief statistical analyst for a large pharma firm.

                    Primary endpoint was a 18 point motor skill test. Secondary was the ability to stand and walk. Non trivial if it’s your son.

                    Also the expanded approval is provisional and they’re requiring a confirmatory study.

                    More here. https://endpts.com/fda-widens-sareptas-duchenne-gene-therapy-to-older-boys-in-significant-expansion-of-use/

                    "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                    -Cormac McCarthy

                    MikM 1 Reply Last reply
                    • AxtremusA Axtremus

                      @Mik said in Science? We don't need no stinkin' science!:

                      I think we'd need to know what those secondary endpoints were. Perhaps I will run this by my BIL who was the chief statistical analyst for a large pharma firm.

                      Hmmm …. big pharma guy may have a bias for the FDA to approve stuff more liberally; can we trust him? 😉

                      MikM Away
                      MikM Away
                      Mik
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #14

                      @Axtremus said in Science? We don't need no stinkin' science!:

                      @Mik said in Science? We don't need no stinkin' science!:

                      I think we'd need to know what those secondary endpoints were. Perhaps I will run this by my BIL who was the chief statistical analyst for a large pharma firm.

                      Hmmm …. big pharma guy may have a bias for the FDA to approve stuff more liberally; can we trust him? 😉

                      You have no idea of the ethical standards our pharma firms adhere to. If you did you'd be impressed.

                      “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                        @Mik said in Science? We don't need no stinkin' science!:

                        I think we'd need to know what those secondary endpoints were. Perhaps I will run this by my BIL who was the chief statistical analyst for a large pharma firm.

                        Primary endpoint was a 18 point motor skill test. Secondary was the ability to stand and walk. Non trivial if it’s your son.

                        Also the expanded approval is provisional and they’re requiring a confirmatory study.

                        More here. https://endpts.com/fda-widens-sareptas-duchenne-gene-therapy-to-older-boys-in-significant-expansion-of-use/

                        MikM Away
                        MikM Away
                        Mik
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #15

                        @jon-nyc said in Science? We don't need no stinkin' science!:

                        @Mik said in Science? We don't need no stinkin' science!:

                        I think we'd need to know what those secondary endpoints were. Perhaps I will run this by my BIL who was the chief statistical analyst for a large pharma firm.

                        Primary endpoint was a 18 point motor skill test. Secondary was the ability to stand and walk. Non trivial if it’s your son.

                        Also the expanded approval is provisional and they’re requiring a confirmatory study.

                        More here. https://endpts.com/fda-widens-sareptas-duchenne-gene-therapy-to-older-boys-in-significant-expansion-of-use/

                        Not trivial at all. This is a tempest in a teapot. IMO there was good reason for the approval.

                        “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • MikM Away
                          MikM Away
                          Mik
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #16

                          There comes a point where you have to delve deeper into what 'do no harm' really means. Perhaps allow no harm might be included. In the cases of hopeless diseases with assured catastrophic outcomes it is hard to imagine you could do much harm with a drug that had made it through phase three trials, even if the benefit is less than what you hoped.

                          “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                            I saw it yesterday and was heartened by the news. I’ve been in meetings with him where he said he’d issue guidance on clinical trial endpoints just to be later scuttled by his staff for rather dubious reasons. I could give details if anyone is interested.

                            I don’t know the details of the Duchenne drug but, knowing him, there’s no way it’s as simple as ‘feels’. There’s probably a small signal and knowing it will help at least some boys destined to become cripples to stave it off a bit is not a bad thing IMO.

                            There’s some new legislation in the senate being pushed by Braun (R-IN) and Gilibrand (D-NY) that would allow ultra-accelerated approvals (post P1!) for certain ultra-rare conditions providing the patients become part of a registry so they can figure out quickly if it’s working.

                            George KG Offline
                            George KG Offline
                            George K
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #17

                            @jon-nyc said in Science? We don't need no stinkin' science!:

                            I saw it yesterday and was heartened by the news. I’ve been in meetings with him where he said he’d issue guidance on clinical trial endpoints just to be later scuttled by his staff for rather dubious reasons. I could give details if anyone is interested.

                            I don’t know the details of the Duchenne drug but, knowing him, there’s no way it’s as simple as ‘feels’. There’s probably a small signal and knowing it will help at least some boys destined to become cripples to stave it off a bit is not a bad thing IMO.

                            There’s some new legislation in the senate being pushed by Braun (R-IN) and Gilibrand (D-NY) that would allow ultra-accelerated approvals (post P1!) for certain ultra-rare conditions providing the patients become part of a registry so they can figure out quickly if it’s working.

                            Interesting take, thanks.

                            "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                            The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                              I saw it yesterday and was heartened by the news. I’ve been in meetings with him where he said he’d issue guidance on clinical trial endpoints just to be later scuttled by his staff for rather dubious reasons. I could give details if anyone is interested.

                              I don’t know the details of the Duchenne drug but, knowing him, there’s no way it’s as simple as ‘feels’. There’s probably a small signal and knowing it will help at least some boys destined to become cripples to stave it off a bit is not a bad thing IMO.

                              There’s some new legislation in the senate being pushed by Braun (R-IN) and Gilibrand (D-NY) that would allow ultra-accelerated approvals (post P1!) for certain ultra-rare conditions providing the patients become part of a registry so they can figure out quickly if it’s working.

                              JollyJ Offline
                              JollyJ Offline
                              Jolly
                              wrote on last edited by Jolly
                              #18

                              @jon-nyc said in Science? We don't need no stinkin' science!:

                              I saw it yesterday and was heartened by the news. I’ve been in meetings with him where he said he’d issue guidance on clinical trial endpoints just to be later scuttled by his staff for rather dubious reasons. I could give details if anyone is interested.

                              I don’t know the details of the Duchenne drug but, knowing him, there’s no way it’s as simple as ‘feels’. There’s probably a small signal and knowing it will help at least some boys destined to become cripples to stave it off a bit is not a bad thing IMO.

                              There’s some new legislation in the senate being pushed by Braun (R-IN) and Gilibrand (D-NY) that would allow ultra-accelerated approvals (post P1!) for certain ultra-rare conditions providing the patients become part of a registry so they can figure out quickly if it’s working.

                              All for it. The FDA had become a bureaucratic bunch of assholes, at least at the far end of the stream that I traipsed through.

                              Case in point...Europe had HIV and Hepatitis C tests on the market from major manufacturers (Abbott, etc.) months and even years before we did.

                              The fast-tracking of drugs and testing during COVID showed us that on some things, we were waaay too cautious.

                              “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                              Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • AxtremusA Offline
                                AxtremusA Offline
                                Axtremus
                                wrote on last edited by Axtremus
                                #19

                                OK, now that it looks like @jon-nyc’s post turned the tide of opinions, let’s take a look at the opposing side.

                                What are the reasons and motivations of the three reviewers and two FDA directors to have opposed approval? Any conflict of interest or ideological bias that we need to look into? What makes “notable pharmaceutical industry expert and commentator, Derek Lowe” admonish the approval? Does Derek Lowe know what he’s talking about? Do those three reviewers and two FDA directors know what they are doing?

                                Is it good that FDA rules allow for a single director to override three reviewers and two other directors now?

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