Death Spiral

[Jolly]

https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2024/02/29/shooting-down-11-russian-jets-in-11-days-ukraine-nudges-the-russian-air-force-closer-to-an-organizational-death-spiral/

A few things:

1. He's wrong about the GOP. If The Resident would have agreed to some moderate border tightening, the money would already have been appropriated for Ukraine.
2. Europeans have only delivered 20% of the promised munitions and equipment to Ukraine.
3. He's not voting any numbers for new plane production. Are the Russians building no new planes?
4. The first trained F-16 pilots and their aircraft should be arriving in early summer

[George K]

Intersting look at the Russian Air Force.

Somewhere, I read that the number of flight hours on a fighter are a small percentage (10%?) of the hours needed to maintain the aircraft. When you decrease the number of airplanes, in order to keep the mission going, you're going to have to cut maintenance. And we know how well that works out.

Or, you cut the number of missions...

[Renauda]

@Jolly

Europeans have only delivered 20% of the promised munitions and equipment to Ukraine.

I know there is a gap between commitments and allocations of aid. Curious from where do you get that 20% number for actual deliveries?

[Jolly]

From the lips of Volodymyr Oleksandrovych Zelenskyy...

[Renauda]

If you say so, but I thought you didn’t believe what politicians say.

As I said, I know that commitments followed by actual allocations and deliveries are different and all too often distanced from one another. My go to source for information on the subject is here:

https://www.ifw-kiel.de/topics/war-against-ukraine/