The Ukraine war thread

Good article, if not cheery. I think the major point is decisive victory is unlikely for either nation, but Russia's economy is so much smaller than the West's. The question is Ukrainian manpower. Weapons are important but you have to preserve the people to operate them.

George K · "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

@Mik said in The Ukraine war thread:

The question is Ukrainian manpower

Indeed. I've seen reports that Russia has sustained >300K casualties. Considering the size of their military, that's not crippling (except, perhaps, in public opinion).

Ukraine can't bear that kind of loss, and Russia will continue to throw troops into the grinder.

Renauda

@Mik

This morning in a Zoom scrum between friends and former colleagues, we parsed through Freedman’s report. One of our number with considerably more experience in these matters than I, expressed his concern that he senses a growing risk of fraying in team Kyiv as to what and how to adjust strategy while at the same time maintaining the necessary messaging to manage expectations on multiple fronts and levels.

I suspect his concern is well founded.

Mik

It's a lot to maintain that fighting spirit as the Russian onslaught, incompetent though it may be, continues to wear them down.

The New Coffee Room

The Ukraine war thread