The Mid-Term Election Thread

[jon-nyc]

This is interesting. I had no idea that native Americans leaned GOP, notwithstanding our own n=1 sample at TNCR.

[LuFins Dad]

This post is deleted!

[Mik]

I’m disappointed that Chabot lost to the snake Landsman.

[jon-nyc]

[LuFins Dad]

I was going to comment a few days ago in the trends thread that it was troubling that the Republican trends had stalled, but figured I was overthinking it…

One thing that hurt them was there wasn’t a closer… No last unifying message…

[George K]

[Mik]

[jon-nyc]

Boebert in trouble?

[LuFins Dad]

@jon-nyc said in The Mid-Term Election Thread:

Boebert in trouble?

Yeah, I think she’s likely out..

[Doctor Phibes]

@jon-nyc said in The Mid-Term Election Thread:

Boebert in trouble?

[LuFins Dad]

Alaska will bring R up to 48. (The big question is whether it will be Murkowski)…

Wisconsin: Johnson-R is up by 27K and with the location of the uncounted votes, NYT is leaning towards this going R. This makes 49-R

AZ is going to be a complete clusterfuck. Between the voting machines problem and these particular candidates and just how tight it is looking… NYT is leaning D, so okay, but this will take a while.

Nevada is still being listed as tossup even by NYT. This will be huge…

GA - Runoff, I think. Advantage will go to Walker once the Libertarian is out, but it will be all about the ground game…

[jon-nyc]

Trump will announce his candidacy next week, putting him front and center in the news again. Then that will make 2 consecutive elections that Trump delivers the Senate to democrats via GA.

[jon-nyc]

Seen on Twitter:

Rs in October: “If they indict Trump there will be riots in the streets”

Rs in November: “What the hell’s taking Garland so long?”

[jodi]

@jon-nyc

[xenon]

Love the Trump shellacking. He is a comeback specialist though…

[jon-nyc]

It’s kind of like January of 2021. Much of his party was ready to turn the corner but his control of the base made it untenable and they quickly got back in line, else face primary challenges.

What’s different now is there is at least one plausible alternative, and they now have three datapoints showing how bad Trump is for their electoral prospects.

But still, it will take courage and a degree of collective action. Not sure how much of that is present.

[LuFins Dad]

@Jolly said in The Mid-Term Election Thread:

I admit, I'm a bit disappointed. I don't understand Pennsylvania electing a brain-damaged Senator. And I thought Walker would have done better in Georgia.

C'est la vie...

Fetterman winning is really an indictment on Oz.

[LuFins Dad]

Best post-mortem line that I’ve read yet?

a possible red wave hit like a toddler's bathtub splash.

[Horace]

Check your 401k today for a line-item cost of our "keep our Democracy safe" referendum.

[Copper]

It seems the market has never liked democrats very much.