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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. White House Redefines Recession

White House Redefines Recession

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  • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

    @George-K said in White House Redefines Recession:

    All you guys know that I'm no economic guru. And, because I'm not, I've always, for decades, assumed that the "two consecutive quarters of negative growth" was the definition of a recession. I'll have to look back and see where I got that terribly wrong impression.

    How I've been misled.

    Now, thanks to the White House, I learn that everything I through was wrong.

    And, if I was wrong, what about the other jamokes like me who thought that same thing?

    It's a sad thing to be ignorant, and kudos to the Biden administration for educating me and setting me on the right path of economic nomenclature.

    Two consecutive quarters of negative growth is two consecutive quarters of negative growth, no matter what you call it. The effects are still the same…

    George KG Offline
    George KG Offline
    George K
    wrote on last edited by
    #21

    @LuFins-Dad said in White House Redefines Recession:

    Two consecutive quarters of negative growth is two consecutive quarters of negative growth, no matter what you call it. The effects are still the same…

    "Tis but thy name that is my enemy;
    Thou art thyself, though not a Montague.
    What’s Montague? It is nor hand, nor foot,
    Nor arm, nor face, nor any other part
    Belonging to a man. O, be some other name!
    What’s in a name? That which we call a rose
    By any other name would smell as sweet;
    So Romeo would, were he not Romeo call’d,
    Retain that dear perfection which he owes
    Without that title. Romeo, doff thy name,
    And for that name which is no part of thee
    Take all myself."

    I get Jon's point as to what the "official" definition would be according to NERB. My question stands, however: Why is yesterday the first time I heard the "revised" definition? Yeah, it was "revised" a long time ago, but I never heard it until yesterday.

    "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

    The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

    jon-nycJ 1 Reply Last reply
    • George KG George K

      @LuFins-Dad said in White House Redefines Recession:

      Two consecutive quarters of negative growth is two consecutive quarters of negative growth, no matter what you call it. The effects are still the same…

      "Tis but thy name that is my enemy;
      Thou art thyself, though not a Montague.
      What’s Montague? It is nor hand, nor foot,
      Nor arm, nor face, nor any other part
      Belonging to a man. O, be some other name!
      What’s in a name? That which we call a rose
      By any other name would smell as sweet;
      So Romeo would, were he not Romeo call’d,
      Retain that dear perfection which he owes
      Without that title. Romeo, doff thy name,
      And for that name which is no part of thee
      Take all myself."

      I get Jon's point as to what the "official" definition would be according to NERB. My question stands, however: Why is yesterday the first time I heard the "revised" definition? Yeah, it was "revised" a long time ago, but I never heard it until yesterday.

      jon-nycJ Offline
      jon-nycJ Offline
      jon-nyc
      wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
      #22

      @George-K

      He has half a point. I very much remember the press sticking with the two quarter definition when both Bush administrations made the identical argument Biden is now.

      What he’s missing, of course, is any commentary as to whether the right wing press went along with the GOP administration arguments at the time (hint: they did).

      Does Mr Erickson think the RW press became propagandists in 90 and again in 2001? He’s oddly silent on that point.

      "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
      -Cormac McCarthy

      George KG jon-nycJ 2 Replies Last reply
      • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

        Unless I’m mistaken, this would be the first recession to start under a democratic administration since Truman. No living TNCR member has lived through a recession that started under a Democratic President.

        The previous 11 recessions all started under GOP presidents.

        But that’s irrelevant, since the president doesn’t effect these things. Right Taiwan Girl Horace?

        HoraceH Offline
        HoraceH Offline
        Horace
        wrote on last edited by
        #23

        @jon-nyc said in White House Redefines Recession:

        Unless I’m mistaken, this would be the first recession to start under a democratic administration since Truman. No living TNCR member has lived through a recession that started under a Democratic President.

        The previous 11 recessions all started under GOP presidents.

        But that’s irrelevant, since the president doesn’t effect these things. Right Taiwan Girl Horace?

        I'm sorry, I can't hear you over your deafeningly loud consistency of dissecting the veracity of all anti-Biden narratives.

        Education is extremely important.

        jon-nycJ 2 Replies Last reply
        • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

          @George-K

          He has half a point. I very much remember the press sticking with the two quarter definition when both Bush administrations made the identical argument Biden is now.

          What he’s missing, of course, is any commentary as to whether the right wing press went along with the GOP administration arguments at the time (hint: they did).

          Does Mr Erickson think the RW press became propagandists in 90 and again in 2001? He’s oddly silent on that point.

          George KG Offline
          George KG Offline
          George K
          wrote on last edited by
          #24

          @jon-nyc said in White House Redefines Recession:

          What he’s missing, of course, is any commentary as to whether the right wing press went along with the GOP administration arguments at the time (hint: they did).

          The "right wing press" is not the White House. I don't recall, and I'll be happy to be corrected , is any statements from the WH saying "nothing to see here, because the definition doesn't apply."

          Does Mr Erickson think the RW press became propagandists in 90 and again in 2001? He’s oddly silent on that point.

          AFIAK Erickson was 15 years old in 1990, and 26 in 2001. I doubt the WH definitions of economic terms were on his radar at those times. When I was those ages, I was more concerned about (cough) other things.

          I suppose that, since he purports himself as a pundit, he should go back 32 and 21 years to examine the press, but to say he's "oddly" silent is a bit of a stretch.

          By the way, was there a "RW press 32 years ago?

          "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

          The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

          1 Reply Last reply
          • HoraceH Horace

            @jon-nyc said in White House Redefines Recession:

            Unless I’m mistaken, this would be the first recession to start under a democratic administration since Truman. No living TNCR member has lived through a recession that started under a Democratic President.

            The previous 11 recessions all started under GOP presidents.

            But that’s irrelevant, since the president doesn’t effect these things. Right Taiwan Girl Horace?

            I'm sorry, I can't hear you over your deafeningly loud consistency of dissecting the veracity of all anti-Biden narratives.

            jon-nycJ Offline
            jon-nycJ Offline
            jon-nyc
            wrote on last edited by
            #25

            @Horace said in White House Redefines Recession:

            @jon-nyc said in White House Redefines Recession:

            Unless I’m mistaken, this would be the first recession to start under a democratic administration since Truman. No living TNCR member has lived through a recession that started under a Democratic President.

            The previous 11 recessions all started under GOP presidents.

            But that’s irrelevant, since the president doesn’t effect these things. Right Taiwan Girl Horace?

            I'm sorry, I can't hear you over your deafeningly loud consistency of dissecting the veracity of all anti-Biden narratives.

            Could it be just the hypocritical ones that pretend Biden pioneered the idea of sticking to the technical NBER definition when convenient?

            After all, according to you I am Objective (tm)

            "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
            -Cormac McCarthy

            HoraceH 1 Reply Last reply
            • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

              @Horace said in White House Redefines Recession:

              @jon-nyc said in White House Redefines Recession:

              Unless I’m mistaken, this would be the first recession to start under a democratic administration since Truman. No living TNCR member has lived through a recession that started under a Democratic President.

              The previous 11 recessions all started under GOP presidents.

              But that’s irrelevant, since the president doesn’t effect these things. Right Taiwan Girl Horace?

              I'm sorry, I can't hear you over your deafeningly loud consistency of dissecting the veracity of all anti-Biden narratives.

              Could it be just the hypocritical ones that pretend Biden pioneered the idea of sticking to the technical NBER definition when convenient?

              After all, according to you I am Objective (tm)

              HoraceH Offline
              HoraceH Offline
              Horace
              wrote on last edited by
              #26

              @jon-nyc said in White House Redefines Recession:

              @Horace said in White House Redefines Recession:

              @jon-nyc said in White House Redefines Recession:

              Unless I’m mistaken, this would be the first recession to start under a democratic administration since Truman. No living TNCR member has lived through a recession that started under a Democratic President.

              The previous 11 recessions all started under GOP presidents.

              But that’s irrelevant, since the president doesn’t effect these things. Right Taiwan Girl Horace?

              I'm sorry, I can't hear you over your deafeningly loud consistency of dissecting the veracity of all anti-Biden narratives.

              Could it be just the hypocritical ones that pretend Biden pioneered the idea of sticking to the technical NBER definition when convenient?

              I'm sure you're right. And I'm sure you're motivated to be right about these things when the political valence is in a certain direction.

              After all, according to you I am Objective (tm)

              I like how you attempt to gaslight the idea that I invented this absurd notion that you attempt to come off as a clear thinking objective person. The only reason you even react against the notion that you try to be that guy, is because I say you try to be that guy. You don't want me to be right about that, so in one post you'll obviously pose as an objective clear thinker on some random subject, and in the next get your shocked face on that I notice. If you couldn't gaslight, you wouldn't be able to shed much light at all.

              Education is extremely important.

              1 Reply Last reply
              • HoraceH Horace

                @jon-nyc said in White House Redefines Recession:

                Unless I’m mistaken, this would be the first recession to start under a democratic administration since Truman. No living TNCR member has lived through a recession that started under a Democratic President.

                The previous 11 recessions all started under GOP presidents.

                But that’s irrelevant, since the president doesn’t effect these things. Right Taiwan Girl Horace?

                I'm sorry, I can't hear you over your deafeningly loud consistency of dissecting the veracity of all anti-Biden narratives.

                jon-nycJ Offline
                jon-nycJ Offline
                jon-nyc
                wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
                #27

                @Horace said in White House Redefines Recession:

                @jon-nyc said in White House Redefines Recession:

                Unless I’m mistaken, this would be the first recession to start under a democratic administration since Truman. No living TNCR member has lived through a recession that started under a Democratic President.

                The previous 11 recessions all started under GOP presidents.

                But that’s irrelevant, since the president doesn’t effect these things. Right Taiwan Girl Horace?

                I'm sorry, I can't hear you over your deafeningly loud consistency of dissecting the veracity of all anti-Biden narratives.

                Oh, and feel free to correct me when one of my dissections comes up lacking. You can start in this thread if you’d like.

                "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                -Cormac McCarthy

                HoraceH 1 Reply Last reply
                • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                  @Horace said in White House Redefines Recession:

                  @jon-nyc said in White House Redefines Recession:

                  Unless I’m mistaken, this would be the first recession to start under a democratic administration since Truman. No living TNCR member has lived through a recession that started under a Democratic President.

                  The previous 11 recessions all started under GOP presidents.

                  But that’s irrelevant, since the president doesn’t effect these things. Right Taiwan Girl Horace?

                  I'm sorry, I can't hear you over your deafeningly loud consistency of dissecting the veracity of all anti-Biden narratives.

                  Oh, and feel free to correct me when one of my dissections comes up lacking. You can start in this thread if you’d like.

                  HoraceH Offline
                  HoraceH Offline
                  Horace
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #28

                  @jon-nyc said in White House Redefines Recession:

                  @Horace said in White House Redefines Recession:

                  @jon-nyc said in White House Redefines Recession:

                  Unless I’m mistaken, this would be the first recession to start under a democratic administration since Truman. No living TNCR member has lived through a recession that started under a Democratic President.

                  The previous 11 recessions all started under GOP presidents.

                  But that’s irrelevant, since the president doesn’t effect these things. Right Taiwan Girl Horace?

                  I'm sorry, I can't hear you over your deafeningly loud consistency of dissecting the veracity of all anti-Biden narratives.

                  Oh, and feel free to correct me when one of my dissections comes up lacking.

                  One can provide correct observations always on the same side of an issue, and remain silent about similar observations for the other side.

                  But I do engage you specifically at times. And when you're unable to prevail, you retreat, with or without ad homs, depending on your mood.

                  Education is extremely important.

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • jon-nycJ Offline
                    jon-nycJ Offline
                    jon-nyc
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #29

                    Of those two options, how would you categorize your current rejoinder to me in this thread?

                    "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                    -Cormac McCarthy

                    HoraceH 1 Reply Last reply
                    • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                      Of those two options, how would you categorize your current rejoinder to me in this thread?

                      HoraceH Offline
                      HoraceH Offline
                      Horace
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #30

                      @jon-nyc said in White House Redefines Recession:

                      Of those two options, how would you categorize your current rejoinder to me in this thread?

                      As you please.

                      Education is extremely important.

                      jon-nycJ 1 Reply Last reply
                      • HoraceH Horace

                        @jon-nyc said in White House Redefines Recession:

                        Of those two options, how would you categorize your current rejoinder to me in this thread?

                        As you please.

                        jon-nycJ Offline
                        jon-nycJ Offline
                        jon-nyc
                        wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
                        #31

                        @Horace

                        Heh. Maybe next time just retreat. It’s probably more dignified.

                        "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                        -Cormac McCarthy

                        HoraceH 1 Reply Last reply
                        • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                          @Horace

                          Heh. Maybe next time just retreat. It’s probably more dignified.

                          HoraceH Offline
                          HoraceH Offline
                          Horace
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #32

                          @jon-nyc said in White House Redefines Recession:

                          @Horace

                          Heh. Maybe next time just retreat. It’s probably more dignified.

                          We're not even arguing about anything specific. There's nothing to retreat from. Like you retreated when multiple people asked you to define your epithet "Trumpist". (Not for the first time.)

                          Education is extremely important.

                          jon-nycJ 1 Reply Last reply
                          • HoraceH Horace

                            @jon-nyc said in White House Redefines Recession:

                            @Horace

                            Heh. Maybe next time just retreat. It’s probably more dignified.

                            We're not even arguing about anything specific. There's nothing to retreat from. Like you retreated when multiple people asked you to define your epithet "Trumpist". (Not for the first time.)

                            jon-nycJ Offline
                            jon-nycJ Offline
                            jon-nyc
                            wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
                            #33

                            @Horace said in White House Redefines Recession:

                            @jon-nyc said in White House Redefines Recession:

                            @Horace

                            Heh. Maybe next time just retreat. It’s probably more dignified.

                            We're not even arguing about anything specific. There's nothing to retreat from. Like you retreated when multiple people asked you to define your epithet "Trumpist". (Not for the first time.)

                            Nice dodge. Not unnoticed though.

                            I’ve defined that for you several times. The first time you came back with “well that’s not how most people define it”. After you Googled ‘autarky’. (For the record today I’d define it psychologically rather than based on policy).

                            "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                            -Cormac McCarthy

                            HoraceH 1 Reply Last reply
                            • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                              @Horace said in White House Redefines Recession:

                              @jon-nyc said in White House Redefines Recession:

                              @Horace

                              Heh. Maybe next time just retreat. It’s probably more dignified.

                              We're not even arguing about anything specific. There's nothing to retreat from. Like you retreated when multiple people asked you to define your epithet "Trumpist". (Not for the first time.)

                              Nice dodge. Not unnoticed though.

                              I’ve defined that for you several times. The first time you came back with “well that’s not how most people define it”. After you Googled ‘autarky’. (For the record today I’d define it psychologically rather than based on policy).

                              HoraceH Offline
                              HoraceH Offline
                              Horace
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #34

                              @jon-nyc said in White House Redefines Recession:

                              @Horace said in White House Redefines Recession:

                              @jon-nyc said in White House Redefines Recession:

                              @Horace

                              Heh. Maybe next time just retreat. It’s probably more dignified.

                              We're not even arguing about anything specific. There's nothing to retreat from. Like you retreated when multiple people asked you to define your epithet "Trumpist". (Not for the first time.)

                              Nice dodge. Not unnoticed though.

                              Please specify what I "dodged".

                              I’ve defined that for you several times. The first time you came back with “well that’s not how most people define it”. After you Googled ‘autarky’. (For the record today I’d define it psychologically rather than based on policy).

                              I doubt I ever made a claim about how "most people" define "Trumpist". I have no clear idea how most people define it, other than the obvious definition of "Trump supporter". You make some handwavy attempt at distinguishing between someone who preferred him over Hillary, and a Trumpist. So a Trumpist is an "autarkist", that's nice. How does one distinguish an "autarkist"? The task before you, from which you retreated, and from which you will again retreat, was to lay out a set of beliefs such a person holds. I don't suspect many people go around laying claim to a belief in autarchy.

                              Education is extremely important.

                              jon-nycJ 1 Reply Last reply
                              • HoraceH Horace

                                @jon-nyc said in White House Redefines Recession:

                                @Horace said in White House Redefines Recession:

                                @jon-nyc said in White House Redefines Recession:

                                @Horace

                                Heh. Maybe next time just retreat. It’s probably more dignified.

                                We're not even arguing about anything specific. There's nothing to retreat from. Like you retreated when multiple people asked you to define your epithet "Trumpist". (Not for the first time.)

                                Nice dodge. Not unnoticed though.

                                Please specify what I "dodged".

                                I’ve defined that for you several times. The first time you came back with “well that’s not how most people define it”. After you Googled ‘autarky’. (For the record today I’d define it psychologically rather than based on policy).

                                I doubt I ever made a claim about how "most people" define "Trumpist". I have no clear idea how most people define it, other than the obvious definition of "Trump supporter". You make some handwavy attempt at distinguishing between someone who preferred him over Hillary, and a Trumpist. So a Trumpist is an "autarkist", that's nice. How does one distinguish an "autarkist"? The task before you, from which you retreated, and from which you will again retreat, was to lay out a set of beliefs such a person holds. I don't suspect many people go around laying claim to a belief in autarchy.

                                jon-nycJ Offline
                                jon-nycJ Offline
                                jon-nyc
                                wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
                                #35

                                @Horace

                                And you would be wrong.

                                https://www.tapatalk.com/groups/the_new_coffee_room/why-would-a-liberal-vote-for-trump-t117744.html#p1491653

                                Again, though, today I would define Magatry more (though not exclusively) in psychological terms.

                                "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                                -Cormac McCarthy

                                HoraceH 2 Replies Last reply
                                • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                                  @Horace

                                  And you would be wrong.

                                  https://www.tapatalk.com/groups/the_new_coffee_room/why-would-a-liberal-vote-for-trump-t117744.html#p1491653

                                  Again, though, today I would define Magatry more (though not exclusively) in psychological terms.

                                  HoraceH Offline
                                  HoraceH Offline
                                  Horace
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #36

                                  @jon-nyc said in White House Redefines Recession:

                                  @Horace

                                  And you would be wrong.

                                  https://www.tapatalk.com/groups/the_new_coffee_room/why-would-a-liberal-vote-for-trump-t117744.html#p1491653

                                  I can't access that board anymore.

                                  You can search for this post, but you can't specify what I dodged? Are you not participating in this discussion in good faith? That would be shocking.

                                  Education is extremely important.

                                  HoraceH 1 Reply Last reply
                                  • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                                    @Horace

                                    And you would be wrong.

                                    https://www.tapatalk.com/groups/the_new_coffee_room/why-would-a-liberal-vote-for-trump-t117744.html#p1491653

                                    Again, though, today I would define Magatry more (though not exclusively) in psychological terms.

                                    HoraceH Offline
                                    HoraceH Offline
                                    Horace
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #37

                                    @jon-nyc said in White House Redefines Recession:

                                    Again, though, today I would define Magatry more (though not exclusively) in psychological terms.

                                    What would those psychological terms be? Is Magatry synonymous with Trumpism?

                                    Obviously we are only discussing your personal definitions, since "common" definitions of these terms do not exist, except in tribes, and only then as base insults.

                                    Education is extremely important.

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    • HoraceH Horace

                                      @jon-nyc said in White House Redefines Recession:

                                      @Horace

                                      And you would be wrong.

                                      https://www.tapatalk.com/groups/the_new_coffee_room/why-would-a-liberal-vote-for-trump-t117744.html#p1491653

                                      I can't access that board anymore.

                                      You can search for this post, but you can't specify what I dodged? Are you not participating in this discussion in good faith? That would be shocking.

                                      HoraceH Offline
                                      HoraceH Offline
                                      Horace
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #38

                                      @Horace said in White House Redefines Recession:

                                      @jon-nyc said in White House Redefines Recession:

                                      @Horace

                                      And you would be wrong.

                                      https://www.tapatalk.com/groups/the_new_coffee_room/why-would-a-liberal-vote-for-trump-t117744.html#p1491653

                                      I can't access that board anymore.

                                      You can search for this post, but you can't specify what I dodged? Are you not participating in this discussion in good faith? That would be shocking.

                                      I was able to log in. Yes, we had a good discussion, at least from my side. You didn't understand my points then, and you won't now, though. I made several good ones.

                                      Education is extremely important.

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • George KG Offline
                                        George KG Offline
                                        George K
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #39

                                        Someone should have told Reuters...

                                        "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                                        The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                                          @George-K

                                          He has half a point. I very much remember the press sticking with the two quarter definition when both Bush administrations made the identical argument Biden is now.

                                          What he’s missing, of course, is any commentary as to whether the right wing press went along with the GOP administration arguments at the time (hint: they did).

                                          Does Mr Erickson think the RW press became propagandists in 90 and again in 2001? He’s oddly silent on that point.

                                          jon-nycJ Offline
                                          jon-nycJ Offline
                                          jon-nyc
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #40

                                          @jon-nyc said in White House Redefines Recession:

                                          @George-K

                                          He has half a point. I very much remember the press sticking with the two quarter definition when both Bush administrations made the identical argument Biden is now.

                                          George - it’s nice that Reuters is being consistent.

                                          "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                                          -Cormac McCarthy

                                          George KG 1 Reply Last reply
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