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The New Coffee Room

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  3. WWIII - Taiwan?

WWIII - Taiwan?

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  • AxtremusA Offline
    AxtremusA Offline
    Axtremus
    wrote on last edited by
    #16

    @Jolly , @Mik, what are your preferred US policies regarding Taiwan?

    MikM 1 Reply Last reply
    • LarryL Offline
      LarryL Offline
      Larry
      wrote on last edited by
      #17

      @xenon said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

      @jolly said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

      @xenon said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

      @jolly said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

      The Biden stuff is horseshit. We are rapidly heading into the zone where out military spending as a percentage of GDP is the lowest it has been in many, many years. You can't throw trillions of dollars at butter issues without it coming back to bite you in the ass.

      We are behind on chip manufacture. We ae behind on steel manufacture. We are behind on hyper-sonic missile manufacture. We are behind on warship manufacturing and our merchant fleet (sealift capacity) is a joke. Our counter espionage efforts are a joke, our borders leak like a sieve and our foremost law enforcement agency has spent six months of man hours and millions of dollars to chase down doofuses taking selfies in the Capitol rotunda.

      We have proven once again in Afghanistan that even when we walk away from a bad situation, anybody that supported us, is thrown to the wolves.

      And we have a doddering, frail, senile fool as our Resident-In-Chief.

      The Japanese economy and military were in worse shape comparatively in 1940, and they damn near cleaned our clock for us. If the carriers had been at Pearl on December 7th, they probably would have.

      Nah, Biden ain't got the guts. Taiwan is nothing but a speed bump and will be treated as such...

      Everything - except for the Biden factor and his health concerns - are pretty much exactly the same as they were during the Trump years.

      Au contraire, mon cher. Trump had increased military spending over Mr. Obama and he had a yuge point in his favor...Would you like to bet that Donald J. Trump wasn't just crazy enough to not give up Taiwan, and would go to the mattresses over the island?

      alt text

      I have no idea what Trump would have done with Taiwan. He has no consistent stance on engaging in wars overseas (though generally doesn’t like large overseas troop deployments).

      Obama’s spending on military was also higher than Trump’s initially, but drew down as our presence in the Middle East drew down.

      From Trump’s statement, I would have thought he’d aim for lower military budgets (fewer deployments).

      I know a big part of his military budget increase was pay - dunno what else he actually “rebuilt”. I don’t think procurement and capital spend increased a huge amount.

      You come from such a point of utter ignorance that it is impossible to even begin to correct your errors. Jesus H. Crisp.

      X 1 Reply Last reply
      • JollyJ Jolly

        I think the U.S may have ceded territories such as the Phillipines, to keep the Japanese out of Australia and to protect the U.S. west coast. Remember, ours was a Germany first policy and we moved production mountains as it was.

        More strain for the Pacific meant something had to take a backseat or not be addressed at all. For instance, what would have happened to the Red Army, without Lend/Lease?

        RenaudaR Offline
        RenaudaR Offline
        Renauda
        wrote on last edited by Renauda
        #18

        @jolly said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

        I think the U.S may have ceded territories such as the Phillipines, to keep the Japanese out of Australia and to protect the U.S. west coast. Remember, ours was a Germany first policy and we moved production mountains as it was.

        More strain for the Pacific meant something had to take a backseat or not be addressed at all. For instance, what would have happened to the Red Army, without Lend/Lease?

        That's possible about the Philippines although I think it would have been a short term retreat. As to the Germany first policy that was because Roosevelt and Marshall agreed along with Churchill that Germany was the strongest most dangerous of the AXIS powers. Even then not everyone agreed with the policy; certainly Admiral King opposed the Germany First policy and felt the US should focus on the Pacific theatre.

        As for what would have happened to the Red Army in the absence of Lend Lease? There are books written on that topic and few are in agreement with how events would have unraveled. Suffice to say that without Lend Lease, in my opinion, the Soviets would have continued to lose men and materiel at an unimaginable rate. Meanwhile the Nazis would have continued to stretch their supply lines as the front expanded and Russians retreated destroying and moving any industrial capacity. Stalin probably would have even made a serious attempt at an armistice to buy time and regroup. It may have even lasted a few years. Eventually and when ready however, he would have counter attacked en mass and driven the Germans back at least to the 1939 USSR Polish border. Either way Germany was toast, simply because Hitler had declared war on the US following Pearl Harbor.

        Elbows up!

        JollyJ 1 Reply Last reply
        • LarryL Offline
          LarryL Offline
          Larry
          wrote on last edited by
          #19

          I can tell you that to this very day the people of the philippines remember the Americans with honor for what we did in the Gulf of Leyte.

          1 Reply Last reply
          • AxtremusA Axtremus

            @Jolly , @Mik, what are your preferred US policies regarding Taiwan?

            MikM Away
            MikM Away
            Mik
            wrote on last edited by
            #20

            @axtremus said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

            @Jolly , @Mik, what are your preferred US policies regarding Taiwan?

            alt text

            “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

            1 Reply Last reply
            • LarryL Larry

              @xenon said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

              @jolly said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

              @xenon said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

              @jolly said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

              The Biden stuff is horseshit. We are rapidly heading into the zone where out military spending as a percentage of GDP is the lowest it has been in many, many years. You can't throw trillions of dollars at butter issues without it coming back to bite you in the ass.

              We are behind on chip manufacture. We ae behind on steel manufacture. We are behind on hyper-sonic missile manufacture. We are behind on warship manufacturing and our merchant fleet (sealift capacity) is a joke. Our counter espionage efforts are a joke, our borders leak like a sieve and our foremost law enforcement agency has spent six months of man hours and millions of dollars to chase down doofuses taking selfies in the Capitol rotunda.

              We have proven once again in Afghanistan that even when we walk away from a bad situation, anybody that supported us, is thrown to the wolves.

              And we have a doddering, frail, senile fool as our Resident-In-Chief.

              The Japanese economy and military were in worse shape comparatively in 1940, and they damn near cleaned our clock for us. If the carriers had been at Pearl on December 7th, they probably would have.

              Nah, Biden ain't got the guts. Taiwan is nothing but a speed bump and will be treated as such...

              Everything - except for the Biden factor and his health concerns - are pretty much exactly the same as they were during the Trump years.

              Au contraire, mon cher. Trump had increased military spending over Mr. Obama and he had a yuge point in his favor...Would you like to bet that Donald J. Trump wasn't just crazy enough to not give up Taiwan, and would go to the mattresses over the island?

              alt text

              I have no idea what Trump would have done with Taiwan. He has no consistent stance on engaging in wars overseas (though generally doesn’t like large overseas troop deployments).

              Obama’s spending on military was also higher than Trump’s initially, but drew down as our presence in the Middle East drew down.

              From Trump’s statement, I would have thought he’d aim for lower military budgets (fewer deployments).

              I know a big part of his military budget increase was pay - dunno what else he actually “rebuilt”. I don’t think procurement and capital spend increased a huge amount.

              You come from such a point of utter ignorance that it is impossible to even begin to correct your errors. Jesus H. Crisp.

              X Online
              X Online
              xenon
              wrote on last edited by
              #21

              @larry said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

              @xenon said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

              @jolly said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

              @xenon said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

              @jolly said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

              The Biden stuff is horseshit. We are rapidly heading into the zone where out military spending as a percentage of GDP is the lowest it has been in many, many years. You can't throw trillions of dollars at butter issues without it coming back to bite you in the ass.

              We are behind on chip manufacture. We ae behind on steel manufacture. We are behind on hyper-sonic missile manufacture. We are behind on warship manufacturing and our merchant fleet (sealift capacity) is a joke. Our counter espionage efforts are a joke, our borders leak like a sieve and our foremost law enforcement agency has spent six months of man hours and millions of dollars to chase down doofuses taking selfies in the Capitol rotunda.

              We have proven once again in Afghanistan that even when we walk away from a bad situation, anybody that supported us, is thrown to the wolves.

              And we have a doddering, frail, senile fool as our Resident-In-Chief.

              The Japanese economy and military were in worse shape comparatively in 1940, and they damn near cleaned our clock for us. If the carriers had been at Pearl on December 7th, they probably would have.

              Nah, Biden ain't got the guts. Taiwan is nothing but a speed bump and will be treated as such...

              Everything - except for the Biden factor and his health concerns - are pretty much exactly the same as they were during the Trump years.

              Au contraire, mon cher. Trump had increased military spending over Mr. Obama and he had a yuge point in his favor...Would you like to bet that Donald J. Trump wasn't just crazy enough to not give up Taiwan, and would go to the mattresses over the island?

              alt text

              I have no idea what Trump would have done with Taiwan. He has no consistent stance on engaging in wars overseas (though generally doesn’t like large overseas troop deployments).

              Obama’s spending on military was also higher than Trump’s initially, but drew down as our presence in the Middle East drew down.

              From Trump’s statement, I would have thought he’d aim for lower military budgets (fewer deployments).

              I know a big part of his military budget increase was pay - dunno what else he actually “rebuilt”. I don’t think procurement and capital spend increased a huge amount.

              You come from such a point of utter ignorance that it is impossible to even begin to correct your errors. Jesus H. Crisp.

              So you’re saying my position is air tight. Nice!

              1 Reply Last reply
              • RenaudaR Renauda

                @jolly said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

                I think the U.S may have ceded territories such as the Phillipines, to keep the Japanese out of Australia and to protect the U.S. west coast. Remember, ours was a Germany first policy and we moved production mountains as it was.

                More strain for the Pacific meant something had to take a backseat or not be addressed at all. For instance, what would have happened to the Red Army, without Lend/Lease?

                That's possible about the Philippines although I think it would have been a short term retreat. As to the Germany first policy that was because Roosevelt and Marshall agreed along with Churchill that Germany was the strongest most dangerous of the AXIS powers. Even then not everyone agreed with the policy; certainly Admiral King opposed the Germany First policy and felt the US should focus on the Pacific theatre.

                As for what would have happened to the Red Army in the absence of Lend Lease? There are books written on that topic and few are in agreement with how events would have unraveled. Suffice to say that without Lend Lease, in my opinion, the Soviets would have continued to lose men and materiel at an unimaginable rate. Meanwhile the Nazis would have continued to stretch their supply lines as the front expanded and Russians retreated destroying and moving any industrial capacity. Stalin probably would have even made a serious attempt at an armistice to buy time and regroup. It may have even lasted a few years. Eventually and when ready however, he would have counter attacked en mass and driven the Germans back at least to the 1939 USSR Polish border. Either way Germany was toast, simply because Hitler had declared war on the US following Pearl Harbor.

                JollyJ Offline
                JollyJ Offline
                Jolly
                wrote on last edited by
                #22

                @renauda said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

                @jolly said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

                I think the U.S may have ceded territories such as the Phillipines, to keep the Japanese out of Australia and to protect the U.S. west coast. Remember, ours was a Germany first policy and we moved production mountains as it was.

                More strain for the Pacific meant something had to take a backseat or not be addressed at all. For instance, what would have happened to the Red Army, without Lend/Lease?

                That's possible about the Philippines although I think it would have been a short term retreat. As to the Germany first policy that was because Roosevelt and Marshall agreed along with Churchill that Germany was the strongest most dangerous of the AXIS powers. Even then not everyone agreed with the policy; certainly Admiral King opposed the Germany First policy and felt the US should focus on the Pacific theatre.

                As for what would have happened to the Red Army in the absence of Lend Lease? There are books written on that topic and few are in agreement with how events would have unraveled. Suffice to say that without Lend Lease, in my opinion, the Soviets would have continued to lose men and materiel at an unimaginable rate. Meanwhile the Nazis would have continued to stretch their supply lines as the front expanded and Russians retreated destroying and moving any industrial capacity. Stalin probably would have even made a serious attempt at an armistice to buy time and regroup. It may have even lasted a few years. Eventually and when ready however, he would have counter attacked en mass and driven the Germans back at least to the 1939 USSR Polish border. Either way Germany was toast, simply because Hitler had declared war on the US following Pearl Harbor.

                You're forgetting the Japanese. Without the U.S. to occupy them, there certainly is no love lost between the Japanese and the Russians. The Chinese may have bogged them down, but it certainly would have been interesting....

                “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                RenaudaR CopperC 2 Replies Last reply
                • JollyJ Jolly

                  @renauda said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

                  @jolly said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

                  I think the U.S may have ceded territories such as the Phillipines, to keep the Japanese out of Australia and to protect the U.S. west coast. Remember, ours was a Germany first policy and we moved production mountains as it was.

                  More strain for the Pacific meant something had to take a backseat or not be addressed at all. For instance, what would have happened to the Red Army, without Lend/Lease?

                  That's possible about the Philippines although I think it would have been a short term retreat. As to the Germany first policy that was because Roosevelt and Marshall agreed along with Churchill that Germany was the strongest most dangerous of the AXIS powers. Even then not everyone agreed with the policy; certainly Admiral King opposed the Germany First policy and felt the US should focus on the Pacific theatre.

                  As for what would have happened to the Red Army in the absence of Lend Lease? There are books written on that topic and few are in agreement with how events would have unraveled. Suffice to say that without Lend Lease, in my opinion, the Soviets would have continued to lose men and materiel at an unimaginable rate. Meanwhile the Nazis would have continued to stretch their supply lines as the front expanded and Russians retreated destroying and moving any industrial capacity. Stalin probably would have even made a serious attempt at an armistice to buy time and regroup. It may have even lasted a few years. Eventually and when ready however, he would have counter attacked en mass and driven the Germans back at least to the 1939 USSR Polish border. Either way Germany was toast, simply because Hitler had declared war on the US following Pearl Harbor.

                  You're forgetting the Japanese. Without the U.S. to occupy them, there certainly is no love lost between the Japanese and the Russians. The Chinese may have bogged them down, but it certainly would have been interesting....

                  RenaudaR Offline
                  RenaudaR Offline
                  Renauda
                  wrote on last edited by Renauda
                  #23

                  @jolly

                  The Soviet Red Army under Zhukov gave the Japanese a sound drubbing in the battles of Khalkhin Gol in 1939. The Japanese lost face and quite willingly agreed to a subsequent neutrality pact with Moscow. There is no reason to think that they would have reneged on it in the absence of fighting the US. There was really nothing in vast expanses and forests of the Russian far east they wanted for their empire.

                  Elbows up!

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • JollyJ Jolly

                    @renauda said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

                    @jolly said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

                    I think the U.S may have ceded territories such as the Phillipines, to keep the Japanese out of Australia and to protect the U.S. west coast. Remember, ours was a Germany first policy and we moved production mountains as it was.

                    More strain for the Pacific meant something had to take a backseat or not be addressed at all. For instance, what would have happened to the Red Army, without Lend/Lease?

                    That's possible about the Philippines although I think it would have been a short term retreat. As to the Germany first policy that was because Roosevelt and Marshall agreed along with Churchill that Germany was the strongest most dangerous of the AXIS powers. Even then not everyone agreed with the policy; certainly Admiral King opposed the Germany First policy and felt the US should focus on the Pacific theatre.

                    As for what would have happened to the Red Army in the absence of Lend Lease? There are books written on that topic and few are in agreement with how events would have unraveled. Suffice to say that without Lend Lease, in my opinion, the Soviets would have continued to lose men and materiel at an unimaginable rate. Meanwhile the Nazis would have continued to stretch their supply lines as the front expanded and Russians retreated destroying and moving any industrial capacity. Stalin probably would have even made a serious attempt at an armistice to buy time and regroup. It may have even lasted a few years. Eventually and when ready however, he would have counter attacked en mass and driven the Germans back at least to the 1939 USSR Polish border. Either way Germany was toast, simply because Hitler had declared war on the US following Pearl Harbor.

                    You're forgetting the Japanese. Without the U.S. to occupy them, there certainly is no love lost between the Japanese and the Russians. The Chinese may have bogged them down, but it certainly would have been interesting....

                    CopperC Offline
                    CopperC Offline
                    Copper
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #24

                    @jolly said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

                    You're forgetting the Japanese. Without the U.S. to occupy them, there certainly is no love lost between the Japanese and the Russians. The Chinese may have bogged them down, but it certainly would have been interesting....

                    They would have occupied Canada and Mexico.

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • AxtremusA Offline
                      AxtremusA Offline
                      Axtremus
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #25

                      https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2021/07/21/deter-china-taiwan-war/

                      Max Boots on how to deter China from invading Taiwan.

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • AxtremusA Offline
                        AxtremusA Offline
                        Axtremus
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #26

                        Biden vows to defend Taiwan in apparent US policy shift
                        https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-china-61548531

                        US President Joe Biden has warned China is "flirting with danger" over Taiwan, and vowed to intervene militarily to protect the island if it is attacked.
                        …
                        Mr Biden prefaced his remarks saying US policy toward Taiwan "has not changed". But his comments in Tokyo are the second time in recent months he has unequivocally stated the US would defend Taiwan if China attacked, in what has been seen as a change in tone.
                        …

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • JollyJ Jolly

                          @xenon said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

                          @jolly said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

                          The Biden stuff is horseshit. We are rapidly heading into the zone where out military spending as a percentage of GDP is the lowest it has been in many, many years. You can't throw trillions of dollars at butter issues without it coming back to bite you in the ass.

                          We are behind on chip manufacture. We ae behind on steel manufacture. We are behind on hyper-sonic missile manufacture. We are behind on warship manufacturing and our merchant fleet (sealift capacity) is a joke. Our counter espionage efforts are a joke, our borders leak like a sieve and our foremost law enforcement agency has spent six months of man hours and millions of dollars to chase down doofuses taking selfies in the Capitol rotunda.

                          We have proven once again in Afghanistan that even when we walk away from a bad situation, anybody that supported us, is thrown to the wolves.

                          And we have a doddering, frail, senile fool as our Resident-In-Chief.

                          The Japanese economy and military were in worse shape comparatively in 1940, and they damn near cleaned our clock for us. If the carriers had been at Pearl on December 7th, they probably would have.

                          Nah, Biden ain't got the guts. Taiwan is nothing but a speed bump and will be treated as such...

                          Everything - except for the Biden factor and his health concerns - are pretty much exactly the same as they were during the Trump years.

                          Au contraire, mon cher. Trump had increased military spending over Mr. Obama and he had a yuge point in his favor...Would you like to bet that Donald J. Trump wasn't just crazy enough to not give up Taiwan, and would go to the mattresses over the island?

                          taiwan_girlT Online
                          taiwan_girlT Online
                          taiwan_girl
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #27

                          @Jolly said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

                          @xenon said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

                          @jolly said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

                          The Biden stuff is horseshit. We are rapidly heading into the zone where out military spending as a percentage of GDP is the lowest it has been in many, many years. You can't throw trillions of dollars at butter issues without it coming back to bite you in the ass.

                          We are behind on chip manufacture. We ae behind on steel manufacture. We are behind on hyper-sonic missile manufacture. We are behind on warship manufacturing and our merchant fleet (sealift capacity) is a joke. Our counter espionage efforts are a joke, our borders leak like a sieve and our foremost law enforcement agency has spent six months of man hours and millions of dollars to chase down doofuses taking selfies in the Capitol rotunda.

                          We have proven once again in Afghanistan that even when we walk away from a bad situation, anybody that supported us, is thrown to the wolves.

                          And we have a doddering, frail, senile fool as our Resident-In-Chief.

                          The Japanese economy and military were in worse shape comparatively in 1940, and they damn near cleaned our clock for us. If the carriers had been at Pearl on December 7th, they probably would have.

                          Nah, Biden ain't got the guts. Taiwan is nothing but a speed bump and will be treated as such...

                          Everything - except for the Biden factor and his health concerns - are pretty much exactly the same as they were during the Trump years.

                          Would you like to bet that Donald J. Trump wasn't just crazy enough to not give up Taiwan, and would go to the mattresses over the island?

                          I guess that the answer is a positive for President Biden.

                          Obviously big news in Taiwan and well received.

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • George KG Offline
                            George KG Offline
                            George K
                            wrote on last edited by George K
                            #28

                            Explosive audio leak details China's plan to invade Taiwan

                            An unprecedented and explosive audio leak of a top-secret meeting of the Peoples Liberation Army has revealed China's detailed plan to attack Taiwan.
                            Experts say that the audio clip posted on the YouTube channel of Lude media appears authentic. This will be the first time since the formation of the People's Republic of China in 1949 that a recording of a top-secret meeting of a military command has been leaked.
                            Apparently, "allies" within the Communist Party of China (CPC), especially the military ( codename "Thunder") carried out the recording of the meeting that took place on May 14. No wonder the knives are out to nail the source of the leak. The Lude media recording was also posted on the twitter account of Jennifer Zeng @jenniferatntd.
                            The leak has surfaced when the CPC is apparently experiencing a bitter power struggle ahead of the 20th party congress later this year, which will deliver a new leadership, including the General Secretary of the CPC as well as the standing committee of the Politburo, comprising seven to nine members, forming the core of the party-state for the next five years.

                            "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                            The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            • MikM Away
                              MikM Away
                              Mik
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #29

                              Are we surprised they have a plan? I'm not. I'd be more surprised if they did not.

                              “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                              George KG 1 Reply Last reply
                              • MikM Mik

                                Are we surprised they have a plan? I'm not. I'd be more surprised if they did not.

                                George KG Offline
                                George KG Offline
                                George K
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #30

                                @Mik said in WWIII - Taiwan?:

                                Are we surprised they have a plan? I'm not. I'd be more surprised if they did not.

                                Of course not. Every country has a plan for something like this.

                                I'm surprised that it leaked.

                                "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                                The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                • MikM Away
                                  MikM Away
                                  Mik
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #31

                                  That is surprising.

                                  “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

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